Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000974 0.001110 0.001248 0.001398 0.001554 0.001713 0.001885
2025-07-27 0.000760 0.000975 0.001201 0.001456 0.001731 0.002018 0.002336
2025-08-03 0.000558 0.000828 0.001128 0.001478 0.001867 0.002281 0.002751
2025-08-10 0.000341 0.000632 0.000979 0.001402 0.001888 0.002418 0.003029
2025-08-17 0.000197 0.000493 0.000878 0.001369 0.001949 0.002595 0.003351
2025-08-24 0.000087 0.000363 0.000768 0.001312 0.001976 0.002728 0.003621
2025-08-31 0.000029 0.000279 0.000704 0.001303 0.002053 0.002915 0.003949
2025-09-07 0.000004 0.000228 0.000675 0.001333 0.002173 0.003149 0.004329
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000165 0.000616 0.001317 0.002233 0.003311 0.004624
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000126 0.000585 0.001334 0.002330 0.003514 0.004965
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000100 0.000573 0.001375 0.002455 0.003748 0.005340
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000066 0.000531 0.001367 0.002515 0.003903 0.005620
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000029 0.000469 0.001334 0.002555 0.004048 0.005908
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000016 0.000461 0.001385 0.002706 0.004333 0.006366
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000004 0.000432 0.001402 0.002814 0.004567 0.006767
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000350 0.001325 0.002793 0.004641 0.006981
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000299 0.001290 0.002828 0.004783 0.007274
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000240 0.001234 0.002827 0.004880 0.007511
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000210 0.001224 0.002891 0.005055 0.007842
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000199 0.001253 0.003008 0.005298 0.008253
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000169 0.001237 0.003060 0.005456 0.008561
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000156 0.001254 0.003157 0.005672 0.008937
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000152 0.001293 0.003287 0.005928 0.009362